Morning Watchlist

    Time to Short? Oil Prices Crush Cruise Stocks - 6/15

    Ian Cooper
    Sunday, June 15, 20255 min read
    Time to Short? Oil Prices Crush Cruise Stocks - 6/15

    Company: A Technical Breakdown

      double top—a bearish pattern suggesting exhaustion.

    Last trading at $257.90, RCL is now rolling over. If this selloff accelerates, we believe shares could fall back to $230, an area that acted as support in April and May. If that floor breaks, the next stop might be $210 or even the 200-day moving average near $195.

    Until geopolitical tensions ease and oil prices stabilize, shorting RCL—or at the very least, staying away—is the more prudent play.

    Investors Alley

    The check disappears. Then the damage hits.

    They're not going to tell you before it happens. Not the Fed. Not your broker. The next cut will come in silence—just like the last ones. No dividend. No reason. No backup plan. And by the time you notice? The damage is already done. Rate cuts, soft landings, happy earnings. But what happens when that fantasy cracks? If you're holding the wrong stocks when it does… The check disappears. And so does your income. I've laid out a way to fix that—right now—before the next leg down.

    Company: Another Ship Taking on Water

  1. RSI is rolling over from overbought levels.

  2. MACD has begun a bearish crossover.

  3. Williams’ %R confirmed the momentum shift early.

  4. Support: If CCL breaks below its

    Company: Weakest of the Three?

  5. RSI has stayed muted.

  6. MACD is already in bearish territory.

  7. Williams’ %R flagged a top before the broader group even started falling.

  8. Support is just under $18. If that fails, $16 is next.

  9. Among the three cruise names, Norwegian may be the most vulnerable to further selling—especially if geopolitical tensions worsen and discretionary travel gets cut from consumer budgets.

    The Big Picture: Why We’re Still Bearish

    Let’s zoom out for a moment.

    Even if oil prices stabilize temporarily, the risk of a prolonged conflict in the Middle East still hangs over markets. With the U.S. pre-positioning forces and Iran threatening retaliation, this situation could escalate at any moment.

    For cruise operators, that means:

      Found this helpful? Share it with others.

      Written by Ian Cooper

      Our Flagship Publication

      Discover Great Companies Trading at a Discount

      Join Behind the Markets